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Predicting violence – a response to Large and Olav

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Large and Olav make a number of points in relation to my paper reviewing the area of the prediction of violence. They appear to make three substantive points. These relate to (1) whether risk is appropriately defined (2) whether in addressing the area of prediction sufficient consideration is given to developments in non-linear mathematics and (3) whether there is any evidence that the prediction of risk has had any positive effect in terms of reducing harm.

Taking these in order, a reading of my paper will make clear that it was specifically addressed to the area of prediction of violence. While the broader areas of uncertainty, …

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